Preseason Rankings
Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#210
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.8#288
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#242
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#185
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 4.4% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 14.0 14.9
.500 or above 36.3% 43.3% 19.1%
.500 or above in Conference 42.6% 47.4% 31.0%
Conference Champion 3.6% 4.5% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 11.4% 9.1% 17.0%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.3%
First Round3.5% 4.2% 1.7%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jackson St. (Away) - 71.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.1 - 2.30.1 - 2.3
Quad 1b0.1 - 1.40.2 - 3.7
Quad 20.5 - 2.40.7 - 6.1
Quad 32.6 - 5.03.3 - 11.1
Quad 49.7 - 4.912.9 - 16.1


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 335   @ Jackson St. W 67-58 71%    
  Nov 12, 2018 26   @ Texas L 58-73 5%    
  Nov 14, 2018 10   @ Michigan St. L 60-78 3%    
  Nov 23, 2018 287   @ Tennessee Tech W 71-67 53%    
  Nov 27, 2018 328   @ Northwestern St. W 71-63 67%    
  Dec 01, 2018 118   @ Mississippi L 69-75 21%    
  Dec 11, 2018 296   Grambling St. W 73-68 74%    
  Dec 15, 2018 105   Stephen F. Austin L 66-73 37%    
  Dec 18, 2018 263   Nicholls St. W 74-71 69%    
  Dec 21, 2018 345   Coppin St. W 71-59 89%    
  Dec 28, 2018 46   @ LSU L 65-78 9%    
  Jan 03, 2019 264   Arkansas Little Rock W 65-62 70%    
  Jan 05, 2019 286   Arkansas St. W 73-69 72%    
  Jan 10, 2019 148   @ Georgia Southern L 68-72 28%    
  Jan 12, 2019 85   @ Georgia St. L 63-72 15%    
  Jan 19, 2019 100   Louisiana L 68-75 36%    
  Jan 24, 2019 192   Troy L 69-70 55%    
  Jan 26, 2019 150   South Alabama L 68-72 47%    
  Jan 31, 2019 221   @ Coastal Carolina W 68-67 42%    
  Feb 02, 2019 175   @ Appalachian St. L 70-72 34%    
  Feb 06, 2019 85   Georgia St. L 63-72 32%    
  Feb 08, 2019 148   Georgia Southern L 68-72 47%    
  Feb 16, 2019 100   @ Louisiana L 68-75 20%    
  Feb 21, 2019 203   @ Texas St. L 62-63 38%    
  Feb 23, 2019 256   @ Texas Arlington W 72-70 47%    
  Feb 28, 2019 175   Appalachian St. L 70-72 53%    
  Mar 02, 2019 221   Coastal Carolina W 68-67 61%    
  Mar 07, 2019 286   @ Arkansas St. W 73-69 53%    
  Mar 09, 2019 264   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 65-62 49%    
Projected Record 12.9 - 16.1 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 3.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.0 1.3 0.3 0.1 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.0 1.3 0.1 0.0 7.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.7 3.9 1.7 0.1 0.0 8.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.9 4.7 2.0 0.2 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.3 2.6 0.2 0.0 10.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.7 3.0 0.4 10.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.8 3.2 0.5 0.0 10.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.8 2.8 0.6 0.0 9.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.6 2.6 0.7 0.0 0.0 9.4 11th
12th 0.2 0.8 1.9 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.0 6.9 12th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.4 4.8 6.6 8.8 10.4 11.2 12.1 11.0 9.0 7.8 6.0 4.1 2.6 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 89.7% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-3 78.8% 1.1    0.6 0.4 0.1
14-4 43.7% 1.1    0.4 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 13.4% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.6% 3.6 1.8 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 99.3% 61.1% 38.2% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.2%
17-1 0.2% 62.2% 54.1% 8.0% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 17.5%
16-2 0.6% 45.5% 33.1% 12.4% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 18.5%
15-3 1.3% 21.2% 18.0% 3.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 3.9%
14-4 2.6% 18.6% 18.5% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.1 0.1%
13-5 4.1% 13.8% 13.8% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.6 0.0%
12-6 6.0% 7.0% 7.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 5.6
11-7 7.8% 5.2% 5.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 7.4
10-8 9.0% 3.7% 3.7% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 8.7
9-9 11.0% 2.8% 2.8% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 10.7
8-10 12.1% 2.1% 2.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 11.8
7-11 11.2% 1.0% 1.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.1
6-12 10.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.4
5-13 8.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.8
4-14 6.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.6
3-15 4.8% 4.8
2-16 2.4% 2.4
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.7% 3.5% 0.2% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.9 96.3 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%